International Journal of Scientific Research and Engineering Development

International Journal of Scientific Research and Engineering Development


( International Peer Reviewed Open Access Journal ) ISSN [ Online ] : 2581 - 7175
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📑 Paper Information
📑 Paper Title Déficit Budgétaire Et Croissance Économique En Rdc : Analyse Des Effets De Court Et De Long Terme
👤 Authors Danny MULIONGO KINKALA, Vincent NGBO SOLONDO, Emmanuel MUKENDI ILUNGA, Stanislas LUKUMUENA MBUYI, Annie NGIMBI NGOYI
📘 Published Issue Volume 9 Issue 4
📅 Year of Publication 2026
🆔 Unique Identification Number IJSRED-V9I4P143
📝 Abstract
This study analyzes the impact of the budget deficit on economic growth in the Democratic Republic of Congo over the period 2000–2023, distinguishing between short- and long-term dynamics. The ARDLECM approach confirms the existence of a cointegration relationship between growth and its determinants, with a positive effect of the deficit in the short term (+0.42) but a negative effect in the long term (-0.42). Private investment, on the other hand, has a positive and significant effect on long-term growth, while the real interest rate has an adverse effect. The error correction coefficient (-0.68) shows a relatively quick adjustment, with about 68% of imbalances corrected each year. These results support a selective and sustainable budgetary policy that favors productive spending and limits persistent deficits that could undermine long-term growth in the DRC.
📝 How to Cite
Danny MULIONGO KINKALA, Vincent NGBO SOLONDO, Emmanuel MUKENDI ILUNGA, Stanislas LUKUMUENA MBUYI, Annie NGIMBI NGOYI, "Déficit Budgétaire Et Croissance Économique En Rdc : Analyse Des Effets De Court Et De Long Terme" International Journal of Scientific Research and Engineering Development, V9(4): Page(1350-1364) July-August 2026. ISSN: 2581-7175. www.ijsred.com. Published by Scientific and Academic Research Publishing.